Applications of the IUCN Red List of Ecosystems in research and conservation

José R. Ferrer-Paris

University of New South Wales — Sydney

Outline

  • What is the Red List of Ecosystems (RLE)?
  • Role in the global biodiversity framework
  • Contributions to ecosystem research:
    • Conceptual ecosystem models
    • Ecosystem typology
    • Understanding collapse
    • Risk assessment

What is the Red List of Ecosystems

Motivation for the Red List of Ecosystems

  • Which ecosystems are most at risk of major changes involving diversity loss?
  • What is the magnitude of the threats?
  • Which changes are most likely to occur? Where? When?





D. A. Keith et al. (2015)

The RLE Team

The Red List of Ecosystems (RLE) is developed and implemented jointly by the IUCN Commission on Ecosystem Management (CEM) and the IUCN Science and Data Centre, in collaboration with the IUCN Species Survival Commission (SSC).

Prof. David Keith and Prof. Emily Nicholson lead the RLE Thematic Group.

What is the Red List of Ecosystems

A global standard for assessing the ecosystems’ risk of collapse




A global standard for assessing the ecosystems’ risk of collapse

“Ecosystems are complexes of organism and their associated physical environment within a specified area” - Tansley, 1935

A global standard for assessing the ecosystems’ risk of collapse

Probability of an adverse outcome over a specified time frame

A global standard for assessing the ecosystems’ risk of collapse

When it is virtually certain that it’s defining biotic or abiotic features are lost, and the characteristic native biota are no longer sustained

D. A. Keith et al. (2013)

Scientifically rigorous protocol

Guidelines for the application of IUCN Red List of Ecosystems categories and criteria (Bland et al. 2016, v 1.1). Updated version in preparation.

RLE Criteria

A. Change in distribution. B. Restricted distribution. C. Change in abiotic integrity. D. Change in biotic integrity. E. Probability of collapse.

Using 5 criteria to diagnose different symptoms of collapse

Projected decline in area of one ecosystem type

Projected decline in area of one ecosystem type

Extent and severity of decline in biotic integrity for one ecosystem type

Applicable from local to global risk assessments

a) Burullus Ramsar site; b) Fathala forest, c) the Southern Benguela upwelling marine system; d) Mozambique; e) South Africa; and f) Western Indian Ocean coral reefs.

Examples of strategic and systematic assessments in Africa from D. A. Keith et al. (2023)

Continental assessment of the forests of the Americas from J. R. Ferrer-Paris et al. (2019)

Key attributes of the RLE

  1. A standard method for assessing and comparing risk of ecosystem collapse
  2. Easy to comprehend by decision-makers and by public
  3. Transparent, objective and scientifically rigorous
  4. Applicable to terrestrial, marine, freshwater and subterranean realms
  5. Applicable from local to global risk assessments
  6. Flexible to use variable quality data and variable coverage
  7. Consistent and complementary to other knowledge products

D. A. Keith et al. (2015) and Rodríguez et al. (2015)

Role in the Global Biodiversity Framework

Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF)

Adopted during the fifteenth meeting of the Conference of the Parties (COP 15) following a four year consultation and negotiation process. This historic Framework, which supports the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals and builds on the Convention’s previous Strategic Plans, sets out an ambitious pathway to reach the global vision of a world living in harmony with nature by 2050.

Goals and targets

Goal A

The integrity, connectivity and resilience of all ecosystems are maintained, enhanced, or restored, substantially increasing the area of natural ecosystems by 2050…

Four major contributions of the RLE

Diagram representing the links between the contributions of the Red List of Ecosystems to several goals and targets of the Global Biodiversity Framework

Contributions of the Red List of Ecosystems to different goals and targets of the Global Biodiversity Framework (Nicholson et al. 2024)

Robust framework for ecosystem science

RLE provides science-based concepts, definitions and criteria for assessing ecosystem risk

  • Ecosystem types
  • Ecosystem collapse
  • Relative severity and extent of degradation (condition)

Catalyse knowledge synthesis

Knowledge synthesis, data collation, and structured analysis, provide valuable inputs for further research and decision making

cluster_input Existing input data cluster_RLE Red List of Ecosystems Framework cluster_target1 Third level of abstraction: Overall risk maps and reports Temporal trends from multiple assessments cluster_target2 First/Second levels of abstraction: Status and trends compared to collapse state Each subcriterion represents a different timeframe cluster_target3 Data collation: Indicator variables presented 'as is': How much? Increasing or decreasing? X1 X1 Y1 Temporal series of maps / values X1->Y1 X2 X2 X2->Y1 X3 X3 X3->Y1 I1 Status and trends I2 Measures of degradation or integrity I3 Priorities, Spatial planning I2->I3 I4 Reporting: National Indices (RLIe, EAI, EHI) Y1->I1 W1 Rates of decline / Relative severity Y1->W1 Compare to collapsed state W1->I2 Z1 Risk of collapse per criterion W1->Z1 Category thresholds Z1->I3 threat diagnosis Z1->I4 Z2 Overall Category of risk Z1->Z2 Summarise Z2->I3 categories and maps Z2->I4 aggregation

Inputs and outputs for the steps of the RLE protocol.

Database of risk assessments

Risk assessment outcomes can inform priorities for a range of conservation and management actions

Eight categories of risk and two forms of representation of results (maps and barplots).

Using 8 categories to summarise risk or status of assessment

Global database of RLE assessments

https://assessments.iucnrle.org/

Examples of published systematic assessments

Systematic national assessment of Myanmar (Murray et al. 2020)
https://www.myanmar-ecosystems.org/home

Abu Dhabi Red List of Ecosystems

Colombia Red List of Ecosystems

Examples of published strategic assessments

Tropical glacier of Cordillera de Mérida, Venezuela (José R. Ferrer-Paris et al. in press)

https://red-list-ecosystem.github.io/T6.1-SA-01-VE-01-Cordillera-Merida/

Knowledge sharing

Capacity building, knowledge generation, and knowledge sharing across countries, sectors, and within governments, supporting biodiversity mainstreaming

Contributions to ecosystem research

General assembly model for ecosystem types

Mechanisms

  • Abiotic mechanisms
    • Resource filters
    • Environmental facots
    • Perturbation regimes
  • Biotic mechanisms
    • Biotic interactions
    • Human activity

Filtros y propiedades

  • Emerging ecosystem properties:
    • Ecosystem functions
    • Ecological processes and structural properties
    • Species (and community) traits

Interactions, dependencies and feedback loops

Example conceptual models: generic

Example conceptual models: specific

Conceptual Ecosystem Model for the Tropical glacier ecosystem of the Cordillera de Mérida (José R. Ferrer-Paris et al. in press)

A function-based typology

Versions

Version 2.0, D. A. Keith et al. (2020)

Version 2.1, D. A. Keith et al. (2022)

Principles of the typology

  1. Representation of ecological processes
  2. Representation of the biota
  3. Conceptual consistency
  4. Scalable structure
  5. Spatially explicit
  6. Parsimony and applicability

Synthesis and comparability

Knowledge transfer

Explore the webapp

global-ecosystems.org includes the three upper levels

  • 5 Realms

  • 25 Functional biomes

    • Including 6 anthropogenic
  • 110 Ecosystem functional groups

    • Including 15 anthropogenic

Exploring the lower levels

Regional subgroups of ecosystem types

Example: Workshop with experts in preparation of assessment of Intertidal forests (Mangroves)

Ecosystem collapse

Ecosystem collapse

  • Transformation of identity
  • Loss of defining features
  • Replacement by a new system
    • May have some elements in common
    • May be valuable

Examples of collapsed ecosystem

Examples of global and local ecosystem collapse: Aral Sea, Cloud forest, Kelp forest, Arid shrublands

Examples of global and local ecosystem collapse

Ecosystem collapse: symptoms

Transformation of defining features

  • Ecosystem structure, dominance & composition
    • Characteristic native biota (extirpations, invasions)
  • Ecosystem functions & services
    • Productivity
    • Resource cycling (water, nutrients, carbon)
    • Trophic diversity & structure
  • Reduced resilience to environmental change

Reduced resilience

Resilient response to fire vs. ecosystem collapsed after underground mining and fire, from D. Keith et al. (2023)

Ecosystem collapse: symptoms

Emergence of a novel ecosystem

  • New set of defining features

  • New governing processes

  • Some elements in common with prior system

The case of the Aral sea

flowchart LR
  FW["Freshwater\necosystem"] 
  ES["ephemeral\nsteppe"]
  HS["hypersaline\nlakes"]
  collapse((" "))
  FW --->|"water\nextraction"| collapse --> ES & HS

Satellite images show changes in the Aral sea between 1989 and in 2014

Satellite images from the Aral sea in 1989 and 2014

Ecosystem collapse: mechanisms

Spatial processes

  • Rates of spatial decline (rapid habitat loss ~ high risk)
    • Land-use change: tropical forests
  • Vulnerability to disasters (spatially explicit threat)
    • Forests of Easter Island

Ecosystem collapse: mechanisms

Functional processes

  • Physical degradation of the environment (suitability / heterogeneity - niche theory)
    • Aral Sea
  • Interruption of biotic processes (decreased functional complementarity, facilitation)
    • Kelp forest, arid shrublands

Conceptual models of collapse

Conceptual model of ecosystem dynamics for groundwater-dependent, peat-accumulating wetlands with three states, from D. Keith et al. (2023)

Indicator responses for different collapse profiles, from Bergstrom et al. (2021)

Comparative study of collapse in 19 ecosystems in Australia and Antarctica, from Bergstrom et al. (2021)

Questions ?

j.ferrer@unsw.edu.au

https://github.com/jrfep

This presentation was prepared by José R. Ferrer-Paris and is shared under license: Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-SA 4.0)

This presentation is available at:

jrfep.quarto.pub/iucn-rle-in-research-and-conservation.

It was created using RStudio, Quarto, y reveal.js.

Source code available at:

bitbucket.org/iucn-presentations/rle-intro-presentation.

Bergstrom, Dana M., Barbara C. Wienecke, John van den Hoff, Lesley Hughes, David B. Lindenmayer, Tracy D. Ainsworth, Christopher M. Baker, et al. 2021. “Combating Ecosystem Collapse from the Tropics to the Antarctic.” Global Change Biology 27 (9): 1692–1703. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15539.
Bland, L. M., D. A. Keith, R. M. Miller, N. J. Murray, and J. P. Rodríguez, eds. 2016. Guidelines for the Application of IUCN Red List of Ecosystems Categories and Criteria. Gland, Switzerland: IUCN.
Ferrer-Paris, J. R., Irene Zager, David A. Keith, María A. Oliveira-Miranda, Jon Paul Rodríguez, Carmen Josse, Mario González-Gil, Rebecca M. Miller, Carlos Zambrana-Torrelio, and Edmund Barrow. 2019. “An Ecosystem Risk Assessment of Temperate and Tropical Forests of the Americas with an Outlook on Future Conservation Strategies.” Conservation Letters 12 (2): e12623. https://doi.org/10.1111/conl.12623.
Ferrer-Paris, José R., Luis Daniel Llambí, Alejandra Melfo, and David Keith. in press. “First Red List of Ecosystems Assessment of a Tropical Glacier Ecosystem to Diagnose the Pathways Toward Imminent Collapse.” Oryx, in press. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0030605323001771.
Keith, DA, DH Benson, IRC Baird, L Watts, CC Simpson, M Krogh, S Gorissen, J. R. Ferrer-Paris, and TJ Mason. 2023. “Effects of Interactions Between Anthropogenic Stressors and Recurring Perturbations on Ecosystem Resilience and Collapse.” Conservation Biology 37: e13995. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.13995.
Keith, David A., Jose R. Ferrer-Paris, Emily Nicholson, and Richard T. Kingsford, eds. 2020. IUCN Global Ecosystem Typology 2.0: Descriptive Profiles for Biomes and Ecosystem Functional Groups. IUCN, International Union for Conservation of Nature. https://doi.org/10.2305/iucn.ch.2020.13.en.
Keith, David A., José R. Ferrer-Paris, Emily Nicholson, Melanie J. Bishop, Beth A. Polidoro, Eva Ramirez-Llodra, Mark G. Tozer, et al. 2022. “A Function-Based Typology for Earth’s Ecosystems.” Nature 610: 513–18. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05318-4.
Keith, David A., Somaya Magdy M. Ghoraba, Eric Kaly, Kendall R. Jones, Ané Oosthuizen, David Obura, Hugo M. Costa, et al. 2023. “Contributions of Red Lists of Ecosystems to Risk-Based Design and Management of Protected and Conserved Areas in Africa.” Conservation Biology. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.14169.
Keith, David A., Jon Paul Rodríguez, Thomas M. Brooks, Mark A. Burgman, Edmund G. Barrow, Lucie Bland, Patrick J. Comer, et al. 2015. “The IUCN Red List of Ecosystems: Motivations, Challenges, and Applications.” Conservation Letters 8 (3): 214–26. https://doi.org/10.1111/conl.12167.
Keith, David A., Jon Paul Rodríguez, Kathryn M. Rodríguez-Clark, Emily Nicholson, Kaisu Aapala, Alfonso Alonso, Marianne Asmussen, et al. 2013. “Scientific Foundations for an IUCN Red List of Ecosystems.” Edited by Matteo Convertino. PLoS ONE 8 (5): e62111. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0062111.
Murray, Nicholas J., David A. Keith, Adam Duncan, Robert Tizard, J. R. Ferrer-Paris, Thomas A. Worthington, Kate Armstrong, et al. 2020. “Myanmar’s Terrestrial Ecosystems: Status, Threats and Conservation Opportunities.” Biological Conservation 252: 108834. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2020.108834.
Nicholson, Emily, Angela Andrade, Amanda Driver, José R Ferrer-Paris, David Keith, Michael Sievers, and Simone Stevenson. 2024. “Beyond the Headline: Roles of the Red List of Ecosystems in Implementing the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework.” Nature Ecology and Evolution. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-023-02320-5.
Rodríguez, Jon Paul, David A. Keith, Kathryn M. Rodríguez-Clark, Nicholas J. Murray, Emily Nicholson, Tracey J. Regan, Rebecca M. Miller, et al. 2015. “A Practical Guide to the Application of the IUCN Red List of Ecosystems Criteria.” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 370 (1662): 20140003. https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2014.0003.

Photographs and images from gobal-ecosystems.org:

 [1] "High cichlid fish diversity in Lake Malawi, Africa / Michel Roggo / [roggo.ch](http://www.roggo.ch)"                                                                    
 [2] "Frozen Lake, Ulriken, Bergen, Norway / Sveter on Wikimedia commons, CC BY-SA 3.0"                                                                                       
 [3] "Cabo de Gata Nijar, Andalusia, Spain / Damocean / istock photo"                                                                                                         
 [4] "Giant kelp forest, Southern California / Brett Seymour / US NPS"                                                                                                        
 [5] "Mola mola (sunfish) near Nusa Lembongan, Indonesia / Ilse Reijs and Jan-Noud Hutten, CC BY 2.0"                                                                         
 [6] "Deep sea Anglerfish (_Himantolophus sp._) female with lure projecting from head to attract prey, Atlantic ocean / Nature Picture Library / Alamy Stock Photo"           
 [7] "Leopard seal on ice floe / Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre"                                                                                
 [8] "Blind cave fish, _Phreatichthys andruzzii_, southern Madagascar / Hectonichus on Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 3.0"                                                       
 [9] "Stygofauna from the Pilbara, Western Australia / Jane McRae / Western Australian Museum"                                                                                
[10] "Anchialine Pond; Makena, Ahihi Kinau Natural Reserve, Maui, Hawaii / Design Pics Inc / Alamy Stock Photo"                                                               
[11] "Giant rosettes of Lobelia and Dendrosenecio in alpine herbfields, Rwenzori Mountains, Uganda / Rowan Donovan / National Geographic Image Collection / Alamy Stock Photo"
[12] "Multi-species plantation (shade coffee), Chikmagalur, India / Prashant Y on Flickr, CC BY 2.0"                                                                          

Wikimedia images: - Keith2013 process circle.png - AralSea1989 2014.jpg

Other figures from cited references.

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